Caution: Trading involves the possibility of financial loss. Only trade with money that you are prepared to lose, you must recognise that for factors outside your control you may lose all of the money in your trading account. Many forex brokers also hold you liable for losses that exceed your trading capital. So you may stand to lose more money than is in your account. HowToTrade.com does not guarantee the profitability of trades executed on its systems. We have no knowledge on the level of money you are trading with or the level of risk you are taking with each trade. You must make your own financial decisions, we take no responsibility for money made or lost as a result of using our servers or advice on forex related products on this website.

Dow Jones Price Analysis – Bearish Sentiment Still Dominates

  • 2 mins read ●
  • Published:
dow jones market analysis 2

This week has been a notable one for US stock indices, with the CPI data on Wednesday pushing all indices lower. The DJI has shed some of its gains for the second consecutive week, and currently, the bearish momentum seems to be increasing.

Key Points

  • After the CPI infused some bearish pressure on the index on Wednesday, DJI recovered slightly after the PPI data on Thursday. Today, the bearish sentiment continues with US30 futures fell by 0.25%.
  • Investors will hope to gain more guidance from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report today.
  • Key price levels are the 38,875 resistance and 38,478 support.

Dow Jones Daily Price Analysis – 12/04/2024

The resultant direction of Dow Futures during Thursday’s trading session was a slight 0.06 increase. Prior to that, on Wednesday, the index saw a sharp 1.12% decline following the release of the stronger-than-expected CPI data release. The index futures currently trades at 38,788, down 0.25%.

The CPI report on Wednesday was sure to douse any hopes of the Fed cutting interest rates by June this year. The PPI, on the other hand, which was released yesterday, provided some form of soft landing for the stocks as wholesale prices dropped. Looking aheadm, investors will be eyeing the Consumer Sentiment Index data later in the day to further influence their trading decisions going into next week.

On the technical side, the index finally dipped into the bearish side of the 50 EMA after months of staying firmly above the indicator line. The RSI line has also fallen to the lower half of its range, suggesting a bearish outlook for the index.

Dow Jones daily chart 2024-04-12
DJI Daily Chart – 12/04/2024

Dow Jones Intraday Technical Analysis – 12/04/2024

The DJI weak start to Q2 has persisted, as the price briefly fell to the lowest price level in a month yesterday. And from its highest point on the 1st of April, the price has now dropped by 4.04%.

DJI now trades within two key technical levels: 38,875 resistance and 38,478 support. Chances are that when the stock market opens today, we’ll see a break out of these levels. If the price breaks to the upside, we have the 39,306 and 39,704 resistance levels to be on the lookout for. 

If the price continues to dip, though, its first main test would be to fall below the 38,478 support and then the 2-month low of 38,095. 

Dow Jones Hourly chart 2024-04-12
DJI 1hour Chart – 12/04/2024

Key Economic Data and News to Be Released Today

After a week of notable economic data releases, investors will expect to see a rather calm Friday. The Consumer Sentiment Index and a long list of CFTC net positions data will be released. And before the end of the trading day, FOMC member Daly will speak. 

Visit Our Economic Calendar

DJI Key Pivot Point Levels 12/04/2024

Based on the 1hr chart, the key Pivot Point levels for DJI are these:

S2S1Pivot PointR1R2
37,98638,60539,48140,10040,976

Related Articles:


Risk Disclosure: The information provided in this article is not intended to give financial advice, recommend investments, guarantee profits, or shield you from losses. Our content is only for informational purposes and to help you understand the risks and complexity of these markets by providing objective analysis. Before trading, carefully consider your experience, financial goals, and risk tolerance. Trading involves significant potential for financial loss and isn't suitable for everyone.

Trade Like a Predator Hunt for Opportunities

Sign up now for FREE access to our exclusive trading strategy videos. Want more? Explore our Trade Together program for live streams, expert coaching and much more.

Here’s what you’ll get:

Identifying high probability scalping setups
When to scalp and when to stay out
Precise entries and exits
Position sizing and risk management
HTT Piranha Strategy Course thumbnail
By clicking the 'Learn Free Now' button you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy
HTT Connor, arms crossed