{"id":30447,"date":"2024-12-11T11:50:06","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T11:50:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/?p=30447"},"modified":"2024-12-11T11:50:07","modified_gmt":"2024-12-11T11:50:07","slug":"chinas-gold-buying-spree-and-cpi-anticipation-drive-bullish-momentum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/market-analysis\/commodities\/gold\/chinas-gold-buying-spree-and-cpi-anticipation-drive-bullish-momentum\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s Gold Buying Spree and CPI Anticipation Drive Bullish Momentum"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Market anticipation of U.S. CPI data is driving gold&#8217;s steady ascent, with a 0.39% gain today building on yesterday&#8217;s 1.21% increase.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-key-points\">Key Points<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Middle East tensions boost safe-haven demand for gold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>China&#8217;s resumed gold purchases signal strong central bank interest.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Wall Street targets $3,000 gold by 2025, citing strong fundamentals.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gold-daily-price-analysis-11-12-2024\">Gold Daily Price Analysis &#8211; 11\/12\/2024<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold prices are experiencing a steady ascent as the market eagerly anticipates key U.S. economic data. Futures rose 0.3% to $2,725.60 per troy ounce, with spot prices also climbing to $2,729.1 in early trading. The current uptick builds on yesterday&#8217;s robust 1.21% gain, reflecting a combination of factors influencing investor sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Geopolitical tensions continue to provide a supportive backdrop for gold. Escalating conflict in the Middle East, notably Israel\u2019s strikes on strategic weapon stockpiles in Syria, has heightened risk aversion among investors. Safe-haven demand remains robust, as gold is often perceived as the ultimate hedge during times of geopolitical instability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adding to the bullish sentiment is China&#8217;s central bank resuming gold purchases after a six-month hiatus. This move underscores the ongoing global central bank appetite for gold, further underpinning prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wall Street\u2019s optimistic outlook on gold, including Goldman Sachs&#8217; $3,000 per ounce target by 2025, reinforces confidence in the yellow metal. Even in a scenario of temporary dollar strength, gold\u2019s long-term fundamentals remain strong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-key-economic-data-and-news-to-be-released-today\">Key Economic Data and News to Be Released Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The most significant driver today is the market\u2019s anticipation of the U.S. CPI report. Forecasted at 2.7% for November, up from October\u2019s 2.6%, the data could solidify expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut during its December 17\u201318 meeting.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A 25-basis-point cut is already priced in with a 90% probability, according to market consensus. However, deviations from CPI estimates could unsettle these expectations and cause volatility in gold prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A lower-than-expected CPI would support gold by weakening the U.S. dollar and reinforcing the Fed&#8217;s dovish stance. Conversely, stronger-than-expected inflation could raise doubts about the anticipated rate cut and bolster the dollar, thereby pressuring non-interest-bearing assets like gold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/trading-tools\/economic-calendar\/\">Visit our Economic Calendar<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gold-technical-analysis-11-12-2024\">Gold Technical Analysis &#8211; 11\/12\/2024<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold price action today is not as straightforward as one would want to see. However, it\u2019s not overly complicated. Let\u2019s break it down in a bit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since we use a multi-timeframe approach when it comes to analyzing price action, let\u2019s see what\u2019s going on in the 4-hour timeframe.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 4-hour timeframe shows that Gold prices are inside a key level, potentially acting as a support for price. On a normal day, we can simply expect the price to react to this zone, form a bullish candlestick pattern, and zoom off to the upside. But it\u2019s not that straightforward here because of the RSI.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"493\" src=\"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1-1024x493.png\" alt=\"gold 4h chart\" class=\"wp-image-30449\" srcset=\"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1-1024x493.png 1024w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1-768x370.png 768w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1-540x260.png 540w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1-860x414.png 860w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1-1170x564.png 1170w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-4h-chart-1.png 1281w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>If you closely monitor the <a href=\"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/cheat-sheets\/rsi-divergence\/#what-is-the-rsi-indicator\">Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator<\/a>, you\u2019ll see that it shows that price is overbought, meaning that we are expecting Gold prices to retrace a little to the downside or to give a total bearish reversal. Now that we are having conflicting market sentiment on the higher timeframe, let\u2019s scale down to the lower timeframe and see if things get clearer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the 15-minute timeframe, price is trending above the intraday 200 EMA, showing a continuing bullish sentiment; what this means is that as long as price is above the EMA, we can continue to look for opportunities to go long.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"493\" src=\"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1-1024x493.png\" alt=\"gold 15m chart\" class=\"wp-image-30451\" srcset=\"https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1-1024x493.png 1024w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1-768x370.png 768w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1-540x260.png 540w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1-860x414.png 860w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1-1170x564.png 1170w, https:\/\/howtotrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/gold-15m-chart-1.png 1281w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>As you can see above, a bullish trendline setup is already forming. Should the price retrace to this trendline to give a third touch while also giving a bullish candlestick pattern confluence, we can look at a short-term long position. Otherwise, it is better to step aside and let the market give a clearer price action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Gold Fibonacci Key Price Levels 11\/12\/2024<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Short-term traders planning to trade gold today should keep a close eye on the following key price levels for the day:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Support<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Resistance<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2691.3<\/td><td>2722.6<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2681.6<\/td><td>2732.3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2665.9<\/td><td>2747.9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market anticipation of U.S. CPI data is driving gold&#8217;s steady ascent, with a 0.39% gain today building on yesterday&#8217;s 1.21% increase. Key Points Gold Daily Price Analysis &#8211; 11\/12\/2024 Gold prices are experiencing a steady ascent as the market eagerly anticipates key U.S. economic data. Futures rose 0.3% to $2,725.60 per troy ounce, with spot [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":189563,"featured_media":28301,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[582],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gold"],"acf":{"related_posts":[30437,30399,30380],"reviewer":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China\u2019s Gold Buying and CPI Anticipation Drive Bullish Momentum<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Market anticipation of U.S. CPI data is driving gold&#039;s steady ascent, with a 0.39% gain today building on yesterday&#039;s 1.21% increase.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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